Life under Republican rule is not turning out to be the picnic voters hoped for. Millions of Trump supporters are in danger of losing their health insurance, and budget-busting tax cuts for the rich are on the horizon. In the world where working-class Americans live, there’s almost nothing in the Trump-Republican agenda that will bring them any closer to the economic relief they need. But in 2018, all that could change if Democrats take back the House.
Democrats need to flip 24 seats to take control of the House. If Trump’s approval rating remains in the 40 percent range or lower, and The Resistance remains energized, that number is within reach.
The Cook Political Report has put 20 Republican districts in play for 2018. Before the Trump, that much of a swing would have been virtually impossible. However, just as Obamacare swept in the GOP in 2010, the unpopular Trumpcare could provide Democrats with a wave in their favor.
In light of the (Trumpcare) vote, we are shifting our ratings in 20 districts, all reflecting enhanced opportunities for Democrats.
FiveThirtyEight also sees an even rosier path to victory for Democrats.
With Trump in the White House, the parties have reversed roles and Republicans are somewhat at the mercy of the president’s popularity…
If we were able to predict the House results perfectly based on Trump’s 40 percent approval rating, Republicans would be forecast to lose roughly 40 seats.
Historically, the party in control of the White House loses seats in midterm elections. And while Trump broke traditional norms during his campaign, policy-wise, he is turning out to a typical, supply-side, pro-deregulation, screw-the-poor Republican when it comes to governing, with the added bonus of being mentally unfit for office, according to a slew of mental health professionals.
Although the Republican-controlled congress is doing its best to try to ignore Trump’s ethical issues involving nepotism, conflicts of interest, verbal assaults on freedom of the press, and potential treason for collusion with Russian hackers to swing the U.S. election, a congress controlled by Democrats would tolerate none of it.
If Democrats win control of the House in 2018, you can bet the days of Trump getting away with spitting on the U.S. Constitution are numbered.
Have your voice heard. Call the Capitol switchboard at 202-224-3121
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